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Red180
4014132.9
2496107.1
5851118.8
Blue295
1622185.5
7157113.6
2637142.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2423860100200300500600700180295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4014
Unranked
132.90.0
132.9132.9
Auto19.0
Teleop100.6
End11.7
blue by 52.7
1622
Unranked
185.50.0
185.5185.5
Auto19.2
Teleop139.3
End25.6
Second
5851
Unranked
118.80.0
118.8118.8
Auto18.5
Teleop88.4
End13.6
blue by 23.9
2637
Unranked
142.70.0
142.7142.7
Auto20.8
Teleop111.7
End9.4
Third
2496
Unranked
107.10.0
107.1107.1
Auto17.7
Teleop81.9
End10.4
blue by 6.5
7157
Unranked
113.60.0
113.6113.6
Auto14.5
Teleop89.6
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest odds59%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss odds2%Face the Boss odds