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Red348
682196.3
2637142.7
3473142.3
Blue177
5851118.8
3647162.8
2710148.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23639006008001,000348177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2637
Unranked
142.70.0
142.7142.7
Auto20.8
Teleop111.7
End9.4
blue by 20.0
3647
Unranked
162.80.0
162.8162.8
Auto16.7
Teleop118.4
End31.6
Second
3473
Unranked
142.30.0
142.3142.3
Auto16.9
Teleop112.8
End15.0
blue by 6.6
2710
Unranked
148.90.0
148.9148.9
Auto18.2
Teleop117.4
End17.1
Third
6821
Unranked
96.30.0
96.396.3
Auto16.8
Teleop78.0
End1.2
blue by 22.6
5851
Unranked
118.80.0
118.8118.8
Auto18.5
Teleop88.4
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest odds65%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
1%Face the Boss odds16%Face the Boss odds