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Red190
589117.0
1622185.5
2637142.7
Blue254
7157113.6
3647162.8
3309216.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2734120200600800190254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
Unranked
185.50.0
185.5185.5
Auto19.2
Teleop139.3
End25.6
blue by 31.0
3309
Unranked
216.60.0
216.6216.6
Auto24.5
Teleop156.6
End37.4
Second
2637
Unranked
142.70.0
142.7142.7
Auto20.8
Teleop111.7
End9.4
blue by 20.0
3647
Unranked
162.80.0
162.8162.8
Auto16.7
Teleop118.4
End31.6
Third
589
Unranked
117.00.0
117.0117.0
Auto17.1
Teleop88.7
End15.1
red by 3.4
7157
Unranked
113.60.0
113.6113.6
Auto14.5
Teleop89.6
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest odds45%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds64%Face the Boss odds