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Red249
1197171.4
4322159.0
3476207.4
Blue317
5851118.8
3309216.6
5810126.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3873200100200500600700800249317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
207.40.0
207.4207.4
Auto25.0
Teleop144.5
End37.1
blue by 9.2
216.60.0
216.6216.6
Auto24.5
Teleop156.6
End37.4
Second
171.40.0
171.4171.4
Auto18.2
Teleop135.0
End17.6
red by 45.3
126.10.0
126.1126.1
Auto16.9
Teleop100.7
End7.6
Third
159.00.0
159.0159.0
Auto20.9
Teleop113.2
End25.4
red by 40.2
118.80.0
118.8118.8
Auto18.5
Teleop88.4
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest odds79%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
64%Face the Boss odds38%Face the Boss odds