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Red265
5805161.8
2496107.1
5851118.8
Blue229
691130.7
3476207.4
3473142.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2454320200600800265229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5805
#12
161.80.0
161.8161.8
Auto18.5
Teleop116.3
End28.7
blue by 45.6
207.40.0
207.4207.4
Auto25.0
Teleop144.5
End37.1
Second
118.80.0
118.8118.8
Auto18.5
Teleop88.4
End13.6
blue by 23.5
142.30.0
142.3142.3
Auto16.9
Teleop112.8
End15.0
Third
2496
#15
107.10.0
107.1107.1
Auto17.7
Teleop81.9
End10.4
blue by 23.6
691
#16
130.70.0
130.7130.7
Auto15.6
Teleop93.6
End24.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest odds80%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss odds27%Face the Boss odds