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Red220
5810126.1
6995106.6
3309216.6
Blue367
3965147.8
3255183.7
5805161.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364350100200300400500600700220367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
Unranked
216.60.0
216.6216.6
Auto24.5
Teleop156.6
End37.4
red by 32.9
3255
Unranked
183.70.0
183.7183.7
Auto23.5
Teleop133.2
End27.4
Second
5810
Unranked
126.10.0
126.1126.1
Auto16.9
Teleop100.7
End7.6
blue by 35.7
5805
Unranked
161.80.0
161.8161.8
Auto18.5
Teleop116.3
End28.7
Third
6995
Unranked
106.60.0
106.6106.6
Auto14.2
Teleop82.2
End12.4
blue by 41.2
3965
Unranked
147.80.0
147.8147.8
Auto20.5
Teleop102.4
End26.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest odds84%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
52%Face the Boss odds18%Face the Boss odds