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Red327
3965147.8
4763115.3
4123108.8
Blue199
6995106.6
3476207.4
3255183.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2414410200400600800327199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3965
Unranked
147.80.0
147.8147.8
Auto20.5
Teleop102.4
End26.0
blue by 59.6
3476
Unranked
207.40.0
207.4207.4
Auto25.0
Teleop144.5
End37.1
Second
4763
Unranked
115.30.0
115.3115.3
Auto12.5
Teleop86.7
End17.7
blue by 68.3
3255
Unranked
183.70.0
183.7183.7
Auto23.5
Teleop133.2
End27.4
Third
4123
Unranked
108.80.0
108.8108.8
Auto13.4
Teleop84.4
End16.2
red by 2.3
6995
Unranked
106.60.0
106.6106.6
Auto14.2
Teleop82.2
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest odds76%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss odds57%Face the Boss odds