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Red335
1421168.5
456168.0
5997139.3
Blue313
364191.0
2992166.0
281143.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359360200300400500600335313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168.50.9
166.7167.6
Auto17.3
Teleop124.5
End30.1
blue by 22.5
364
#4
191.00.4
190.1190.6
Auto24.7
Teleop135.6
End29.7
Second
456
#1
168.00.7
166.7167.3
Auto19.8
Teleop126.0
End25.3
red by 2.0
166.00.4
165.2165.6
Auto18.6
Teleop125.8
End22.4
Third
5997
#33
139.31.0
137.4138.4
Auto15.7
Teleop103.6
End23.7
blue by 3.9
281
#11
143.20.2
142.8143.0
Auto18.2
Teleop106.2
End16.7