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Red115
2078127.8
7094102.1
3337131.2
Blue239
2080137.5
5997139.3
3468110.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288286150200250300115239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3337
#30
131.21.1
121.7122.8
Auto17.2
Teleop98.2
End18.6
blue by 8.1
5997
#33DQ
139.310.8
77.688.5
Auto15.7
Teleop103.6
End23.7
Second
2078
#20
127.817.2
64.081.2
Auto14.6
Teleop96.4
End15.0
blue by 9.6
2080
#12
137.51.8
130.3132.1
Auto17.8
Teleop103.9
End16.4
Third
7094
#18
102.113.7
77.791.4
Auto14.3
Teleop78.9
End8.4
blue by 8.4
3468
#47
110.510.4
77.988.3
Auto15.6
Teleop83.6
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed