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Red116
1927114.7
1818115.9
596598.3
Blue349
4087161.1
5045132.9
3039138.0
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2453520100200300400500116349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1818
#32
115.90.2
118.6118.7
Auto17.4
Teleop86.4
End9.8
blue by 45.2
161.11.6
148.1149.7
Auto20.4
Teleop120.7
End20.3
Second
1927
#35
114.710.4
82.993.3
Auto15.0
Teleop87.1
End11.6
blue by 23.2
3039
#16
138.00.9
138.7137.8
Auto19.1
Teleop106.9
End14.3
Third
5965
#54
98.312.9
75.888.6
Auto12.9
Teleop75.8
End3.1
blue by 34.6
5045
#22
132.90.1
128.4128.3
Auto22.6
Teleop99.4
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed