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Qual 342018 Bayou Regional
Red233
6898119.3
2221116.3
4087161.1
Blue228
3946100.8
4107119.4
3616162.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26729304006008001,0001,2001,4001,600233228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4087
#5
161.10.6
151.2→151.8
Auto20.4
Teleop120.7
End20.3
blue by 1.6
3616
#14
162.71.8
155.5→157.3
Auto17.7
Teleop130.5
End14.4
Second
6898
#17
119.36.3
101.4→107.7
Auto15.3
Teleop94.1
End11.4
blue by 0.2
4107
#38
119.45.6
102.7→108.3
Auto13.3
Teleop93.4
End12.0
Third
2221
#19
116.32.3
102.2→104.5
Auto13.5
Teleop93.5
End8.4
red by 15.4
3946
#28
100.84.2
92.6→96.8
Auto14.2
Teleop83.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed