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Red258
2221116.3
7331136.8
5997139.3
Blue352
4353117.8
6055171.2
3606118.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2672910100200400500600258352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5997
#33
139.37.4
103.0110.4
Auto15.7
Teleop103.6
End23.7
blue by 31.9
171.23.0
157.0160.0
Auto25.1
Teleop117.1
End30.8
Second
7331
#29
136.85.9
113.8119.7
Auto15.7
Teleop104.3
End19.6
red by 18.0
3606
#27
118.90.8
107.5108.3
Auto14.4
Teleop97.4
End3.7
Third
2221
#19
116.31.6
104.5106.0
Auto13.5
Teleop93.5
End8.4
blue by 1.6
4353
#40
117.82.5
98.4100.9
Auto15.8
Teleop89.0
End19.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed