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Red168
6489109.7
3337131.2
4978114.9
Blue364
1421168.5
3039138.0
4053105.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2083390100300400500168364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3337
#30
131.20.9
123.1124.0
Auto17.2
Teleop98.2
End18.6
blue by 37.3
168.52.4
149.4151.8
Auto17.3
Teleop124.5
End30.1
Second
4978
#10
114.92.8
100.5103.2
Auto15.6
Teleop85.7
End13.1
blue by 23.1
3039
#16
138.00.5
136.4135.9
Auto19.1
Teleop106.9
End14.3
Third
6489
#42
109.73.1
108.6111.7
Auto14.5
Teleop87.7
End10.4
red by 4.7
4053
#15
105.03.9
96.6100.6
Auto15.4
Teleop84.4
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed