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Red404
7094102.1
3753135.6
6055171.2
Blue180
3039138.0
433591.7
5863105.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296289150200250350400404180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.22.4
146.0148.3
Auto25.1
Teleop117.1
End30.8
red by 33.3
3039
#16
138.00.0
138.7138.7
Auto19.1
Teleop106.9
End14.3
Second
135.616.7
68.385.0
Auto16.1
Teleop106.6
End13.4
red by 30.3
5863
#37
105.317.3
63.280.5
Auto14.5
Teleop81.7
End9.2
Third
7094
#18
102.124.4
102.177.7
Auto14.3
Teleop78.9
End8.4
red by 10.5
4335
#53
91.716.0
74.690.6
Auto11.8
Teleop75.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned45%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed