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Red493
6677119.9
4087161.1
456168.0
Blue244
516888.2
364191.0
6489109.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3512530100200300400500600493244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#1
168.01.7
158.3160.0
Auto19.8
Teleop126.0
End25.3
blue by 23.0
364
#4
191.01.4
184.0185.4
Auto24.7
Teleop135.6
End29.7
Second
161.12.0
153.9155.8
Auto20.4
Teleop120.7
End20.3
red by 51.4
6489
#42
109.71.9
113.3111.4
Auto14.5
Teleop87.7
End10.4
Third
6677
#34
119.91.7
113.0114.7
Auto14.3
Teleop92.3
End12.5
red by 31.7
5168
#51
88.22.4
93.290.8
Auto13.6
Teleop70.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed