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Red241
433591.7
2221116.3
1912108.6
Blue232
6677119.9
665292.4
5045132.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2492860100200400500600241232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2221
#19
116.32.6
109.0111.6
Auto13.5
Teleop93.5
End8.4
blue by 16.6
5045
#22
132.90.9
130.4131.2
Auto22.6
Teleop99.4
End11.5
Second
1912
#26
108.60.8
107.3108.1
Auto15.8
Teleop84.8
End8.9
blue by 11.3
6677
#34
119.93.1
114.7117.8
Auto14.3
Teleop92.3
End12.5
Third
4335
#53
91.72.0
95.293.2
Auto11.8
Teleop75.9
End0.2
blue by 0.7
6652
#50
92.41.5
95.093.5
Auto14.9
Teleop69.5
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed