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Red214
7331136.8
2992166.0
3946100.8
Blue293
1818115.9
1421168.5
5892138.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307304250350400214293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166.02.6
159.3161.9
Auto18.6
Teleop125.8
End22.4
blue by 2.5
168.53.2
157.3160.5
Auto17.3
Teleop124.5
End30.1
Second
7331
#29
136.84.4
130.3134.7
Auto15.7
Teleop104.3
End19.6
blue by 2.0
5892
#24
138.80.3
138.5138.8
Auto16.6
Teleop108.3
End15.4
Third
3946
#28
100.81.1
99.6100.8
Auto14.2
Teleop83.5
End3.4
blue by 15.1
1818
#32
115.91.3
119.9118.6
Auto17.4
Teleop86.4
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed