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Red335
6489109.7
2333148.2
596598.3
Blue121
2221116.3
3946100.8
4353117.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3072470100200400500335121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2333
#21
148.20.8
147.1147.8
Auto18.1
Teleop115.8
End15.6
red by 30.4
4353
#40
117.817.1
64.781.8
Auto15.8
Teleop89.0
End19.4
Second
6489
#42
109.716.4
71.287.6
Auto14.5
Teleop87.7
End10.4
blue by 6.6
2221
#19
116.316.4
70.687.1
Auto13.5
Teleop93.5
End8.4
Third
5965
#54
98.317.9
57.975.8
Auto12.9
Teleop75.8
End3.1
blue by 2.5
3946
#28
100.818.0
56.974.9
Auto14.2
Teleop83.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed