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Qual 772018 Bayou Regional
Red142
6677119.9
578596.5
1927114.7
Blue315
5863105.3
3946100.8
2183134.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2412910100200400500142315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6677
#34
119.92.1
117.8→119.9
Auto14.3
Teleop92.3
End12.5
blue by 14.9
2183
#41
134.80.3
134.0→134.3
Auto14.8
Teleop103.7
End17.3
Second
1927
#35
114.71.6
113.1→114.7
Auto15.0
Teleop87.1
End11.6
red by 9.4
5863
#37
105.30.8
106.1→105.3
Auto14.5
Teleop81.7
End9.2
Third
5785
#52
96.50.0
96.5→96.5
Auto15.1
Teleop75.5
End3.4
blue by 4.3
3946
#28
100.80.1
100.8→100.8
Auto14.2
Teleop83.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed