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Red380
6201149.2
4909170.8
5494132.2
Blue307
2342149.4
1721162.9
5752108.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348317200400500600380307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.80.3
170.1170.3
Auto18.8
Teleop130.3
End23.7
red by 7.9
162.90.6
162.3162.9
Auto18.1
Teleop116.6
End30.5
Second
149.20.0
149.1149.2
Auto19.3
Teleop116.1
End11.4
blue by 0.1
2342
#13
149.40.3
149.1149.4
Auto18.4
Teleop117.9
End12.0
Third
5494
#24
132.20.4
131.0131.4
Auto17.3
Teleop102.3
End13.6
red by 23.5
5752
#39
108.70.2
108.5108.7
Auto16.7
Teleop83.0
End11.0