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Red162
885123.8
7269105.8
3467129.6
Blue368
1721162.9
7126103.2
97117.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2992740100200400500600700800162368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
#22
129.62.0
140.8138.7
Auto19.4
Teleop103.0
End9.8
blue by 33.3
162.93.4
139.1142.6
Auto18.1
Teleop116.6
End30.5
Second
885
#30
123.80.2
131.8132.0
Auto15.6
Teleop96.5
End12.4
red by 6.6
97
#19
117.20.6
108.8108.2
Auto17.0
Teleop86.8
End13.7
Third
7269
#28
105.88.1
77.785.9
Auto15.9
Teleop80.3
End9.3
red by 2.7
7126
#26
103.20.1
98.097.9
Auto14.7
Teleop79.9
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed