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Red152
7259102.5
5494132.2
1922112.9
Blue392
3597132.4
3467129.6
6933176.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2243620100300400500600152392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5494
#24
132.20.1
129.3129.5
Auto17.3
Teleop102.3
End13.6
blue by 44.6
176.81.0
161.5162.5
Auto24.2
Teleop133.0
End17.9
Second
1922
#21
112.91.8
120.4118.6
Auto15.8
Teleop81.6
End16.2
blue by 19.4
132.41.6
115.3116.9
Auto16.4
Teleop101.0
End17.2
Third
7259
#42
102.50.8
111.7110.9
Auto16.7
Teleop78.2
End5.3
blue by 27.1
3467
#22
129.63.0
138.7135.8
Auto19.4
Teleop103.0
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed77%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed