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Red335
69124.2
2423123.1
6161117.2
Blue373
2084136.8
2523136.4
6529111.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296287100150200250350400450500335373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69
#20
124.20.2
120.4120.2
Auto17.7
Teleop93.8
End16.0
blue by 12.7
2084
#18
136.80.1
136.6136.4
Auto17.9
Teleop106.8
End12.9
Second
2423
#35
123.11.4
114.2115.6
Auto15.1
Teleop94.5
End12.7
blue by 13.3
2523
#16
136.40.1
129.3129.2
Auto16.6
Teleop97.4
End26.0
Third
6161
#29
117.20.3
119.2118.9
Auto18.5
Teleop83.8
End12.4
red by 6.2
6529
#38
111.00.4
102.4102.0
Auto15.0
Teleop87.6
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed