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Red470
5491103.8
4909170.8
1721162.9
Blue154
5752108.7
2713133.2
7259102.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3742200100300500600700800470154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.83.0
150.9153.9
Auto18.8
Teleop130.3
End23.7
red by 37.7
2713
#10
133.20.3
131.0131.2
Auto19.9
Teleop95.4
End17.8
Second
162.92.2
146.2148.4
Auto18.1
Teleop116.6
End30.5
red by 54.2
5752
#39
108.70.9
110.2109.4
Auto16.7
Teleop83.0
End11.0
Third
5491
#40
103.80.1
104.5104.4
Auto13.2
Teleop78.1
End13.3
red by 1.3
7259
#42
102.51.1
110.9109.8
Auto16.7
Teleop78.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed