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Red108
7266113.5
3499104.8
2084136.8
Blue263
2342149.4
630192.3
5347109.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275273150200250300350400108263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2084
#18
136.80.4
136.4135.9
Auto17.9
Teleop106.8
End12.9
blue by 12.5
2342
#13
149.41.3
144.1145.4
Auto18.4
Teleop117.9
End12.0
Second
7266
#33
113.51.5
111.8113.3
Auto16.5
Teleop84.1
End15.2
red by 4.3
5347
#12
109.21.4
116.6115.2
Auto18.0
Teleop80.9
End10.3
Third
3499
#34
104.81.0
102.0103.1
Auto14.3
Teleop76.2
End13.5
red by 12.5
6301
#32
92.30.1
91.891.7
Auto13.4
Teleop73.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed