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Red319
97117.2
7259102.5
1965122.3
Blue289
630192.3
5563149.7
4311109.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2602930100200400500319289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1965
#25
122.30.4
120.9120.6
Auto15.9
Teleop92.5
End13.8
blue by 27.4
5563
#14
149.71.2
144.8146.0
Auto16.0
Teleop117.9
End15.7
Second
97
#19
117.21.2
112.6113.8
Auto17.0
Teleop86.8
End13.7
red by 8.0
4311
#31
109.30.8
103.1103.9
Auto17.8
Teleop84.7
End7.6
Third
7259
#42
102.51.0
106.7105.7
Auto16.7
Teleop78.2
End5.3
red by 10.2
6301
#32
92.30.3
91.791.5
Auto13.4
Teleop73.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed