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Red275
5347109.2
238215.8
5494132.2
Blue219
2877180.6
3467129.6
69124.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3363100100200400500600700800275219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#4
215.81.5
209.8211.3
Auto26.8
Teleop163.4
End25.7
red by 35.2
180.62.5
171.0173.5
Auto24.0
Teleop134.8
End19.8
Second
5494
#24
132.20.2
128.7128.9
Auto17.3
Teleop102.3
End13.6
red by 2.6
3467
#22
129.61.2
130.4129.2
Auto19.4
Teleop103.0
End9.8
Third
5347
#12
109.21.3
115.2113.9
Auto18.0
Teleop80.9
End10.3
blue by 15.0
69
#20
124.21.6
121.7123.3
Auto17.7
Teleop93.8
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed