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Red401
125211.5
3467129.6
6201149.2
Blue193
1965122.3
5563149.7
6690116.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions407253100200300500600700401193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#1
211.51.9
196.0197.9
Auto28.8
Teleop154.7
End31.6
red by 61.8
5563
#14
149.71.1
146.0147.1
Auto16.0
Teleop117.9
End15.7
Second
149.21.3
144.8146.1
Auto19.3
Teleop116.1
End11.4
red by 27.0
1965
#25
122.30.2
120.6120.8
Auto15.9
Teleop92.5
End13.8
Third
3467
#22
129.61.1
129.2128.0
Auto19.4
Teleop103.0
End9.8
red by 12.8
6690
#27
116.80.1
117.3117.4
Auto16.7
Teleop87.4
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed