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Red392
2084136.8
5752108.7
3597132.4
Blue106
1922112.9
69124.2
885123.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311278100200400500600392106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2084
#18
136.80.6
134.9134.3
Auto17.9
Teleop106.8
End12.9
red by 12.7
69
#20
124.21.1
123.3124.4
Auto17.7
Teleop93.8
End16.0
Second
132.40.5
123.7124.1
Auto16.4
Teleop101.0
End17.2
red by 8.6
885
#30
123.80.1
126.9126.9
Auto15.6
Teleop96.5
End12.4
Third
5752
#39
108.70.2
106.0105.8
Auto16.7
Teleop83.0
End11.0
blue by 4.2
1922
#21
112.90.8
114.6113.8
Auto15.8
Teleop81.6
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed6%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed