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Red173
7240121.1
5962127.1
6161117.2
Blue315
6933176.8
4034116.4
5347109.2
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions219365100300400500600700173315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5962
#36
127.10.2
128.8128.6
Auto18.0
Teleop97.0
End10.0
blue by 49.7
176.81.7
172.5174.2
Auto24.2
Teleop133.0
End17.9
Second
7240
#17
121.10.4
118.9119.3
Auto17.3
Teleop90.2
End12.7
red by 4.7
4034
#15
116.40.6
119.2118.7
Auto15.4
Teleop89.8
End11.0
Third
6161
#29
117.20.3
117.3117.6
Auto18.5
Teleop83.8
End12.4
red by 8.0
5347
#12
109.21.4
112.4111.0
Auto18.0
Teleop80.9
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed