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Red474
7126103.2
125211.5
238215.8
Blue222
2084136.8
6690116.8
5494132.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4402140100300400500600700800474222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#4
215.80.5
212.0212.5
Auto26.8
Teleop163.4
End25.7
red by 79.0
2084
#18
136.80.7
134.3135.0
Auto17.9
Teleop106.8
End12.9
Second
125
#1
211.51.9
197.9199.8
Auto28.8
Teleop154.7
End31.6
red by 79.3
5494
#24
132.20.2
128.7128.9
Auto17.3
Teleop102.3
End13.6
Third
7126
#26
103.20.7
101.0101.7
Auto14.7
Teleop79.9
End8.9
blue by 13.6
6690
#27
116.80.1
117.4117.4
Auto16.7
Teleop87.4
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed