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Red415
1721162.9
6933176.8
1922112.9
Blue189
2423123.1
1965122.3
7126103.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406211100300500600700415189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.80.1
176.9176.7
Auto24.2
Teleop133.0
End17.9
red by 53.7
2423
#35
123.10.1
123.1123.1
Auto15.1
Teleop94.5
End12.7
Second
162.91.9
159.7161.6
Auto18.1
Teleop116.6
End30.5
red by 40.7
1965
#25
122.30.1
121.3121.3
Auto15.9
Teleop92.5
End13.8
Third
1922
#21
112.90.3
112.7112.9
Auto15.8
Teleop81.6
End16.2
red by 9.7
7126
#26
103.20.1
103.0103.2
Auto14.7
Teleop79.9
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed