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Red191
6690116.8
4034116.4
7259102.5
Blue351
3499104.8
69124.2
2713133.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29427102004006008001,0001,200191351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6690
#27
116.80.1
119.1119.1
Auto16.7
Teleop87.4
End12.3
blue by 16.4
2713
#10
133.20.4
131.3130.9
Auto19.9
Teleop95.4
End17.8
Second
4034
#15
116.40.8
117.6116.8
Auto15.4
Teleop89.8
End11.0
blue by 7.8
69
#20
124.20.7
121.1120.4
Auto17.7
Teleop93.8
End16.0
Third
7259
#42
102.50.6
112.3111.7
Auto16.7
Teleop78.2
End5.3
blue by 2.3
3499
#34
104.80.7
101.8101.0
Auto14.3
Teleop76.2
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed