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Red183
78183.5
58153.1
6620131.2
Blue393
2168152.5
88179.9
121144.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3303520100200400500600700800183393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#3
183.50.6
182.5183.1
Auto25.9
Teleop130.4
End28.4
red by 3.6
88
#2
179.90.8
178.3179.1
Auto23.3
Teleop140.9
End17.9
Second
58
#1
153.10.5
152.3152.8
Auto17.8
Teleop119.9
End17.2
red by 0.6
152.50.3
151.8152.1
Auto18.1
Teleop125.6
End7.8
Third
6620
#25
131.20.4
130.6131.0
Auto14.6
Teleop101.0
End15.5
blue by 13.3
121
#23
144.50.1
144.2144.4
Auto19.6
Teleop110.4
End13.1