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Red385
23142.4
6224132.0
5112138.0
Blue290
157134.6
5000145.3
5846131.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3323070100200400500600700385290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23
#8
142.40.2
141.4141.5
Auto18.3
Teleop106.3
End18.1
blue by 2.9
145.30.7
144.1144.7
Auto17.7
Teleop106.0
End24.6
Second
5112
#28
138.00.2
136.7137.0
Auto13.9
Teleop110.3
End17.0
red by 3.4
157
#12
134.60.5
133.8134.2
Auto16.7
Teleop103.0
End12.9
Third
132.00.6
129.6130.1
Auto16.1
Teleop109.9
End8.3
red by 0.1
5846
#31
131.80.1
131.6131.8
Auto17.6
Teleop98.1
End14.3