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Red295
23142.4
6224132.0
6337131.5
Blue164
415194.4
2079118.7
88179.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2753240100200400500600700295164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23
#8
142.41.0
136.5137.5
Auto18.3
Teleop106.3
End18.1
blue by 37.5
88
#2
179.92.0
154.3156.3
Auto23.3
Teleop140.9
End17.9
Second
132.016.2
72.889.0
Auto16.1
Teleop109.9
End8.3
red by 13.3
2079
#22
118.715.9
75.591.4
Auto15.5
Teleop84.5
End20.7
Third
6337
#14
131.513.9
93.6107.5
Auto17.1
Teleop101.7
End13.4
red by 37.0
4151
#36
94.415.7
77.393.0
Auto14.3
Teleop76.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsMissed54%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed