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Red192
5000145.3
4176112.1
23142.4
Blue270
121144.5
5422124.0
2168152.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282314150200250350400450500192270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.38.0
108.1116.1
Auto17.7
Teleop106.0
End24.6
blue by 7.2
152.55.3
135.2140.5
Auto18.1
Teleop125.6
End7.8
Second
23
#8
142.40.7
137.9137.3
Auto18.3
Teleop106.3
End18.1
blue by 2.1
121
#23
144.58.9
112.1121.1
Auto19.6
Teleop110.4
End13.1
Third
4176
#34
112.15.6
112.4118.0
Auto19.3
Teleop89.6
End2.0
blue by 11.9
5422
#21
124.05.6
110.6116.3
Auto14.5
Teleop98.9
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed