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Red148
630192.5
97108.7
6172141.6
Blue237
3566110.5
4761121.9
6224132.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251280100200400500148237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6172
#17
141.69.2
94.6103.8
Auto15.1
Teleop109.9
End21.0
red by 9.6
132.05.2
98.8104.1
Auto16.1
Teleop109.9
End8.3
Second
97
#35
108.79.2
96.3105.4
Auto13.7
Teleop83.3
End11.4
blue by 13.2
4761
#24
121.95.1
117.6122.7
Auto16.0
Teleop93.3
End13.1
Third
6301
#32
92.57.2
70.978.0
Auto11.0
Teleop74.5
End9.4
blue by 18.0
3566
#27DQ
110.51.5
120.2118.7
Auto16.5
Teleop92.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed