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Red293
839125.2
6172141.6
6337131.5
Blue137
1735113.7
6328139.0
5846131.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2433360100200300400500293137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6172
#17
141.66.7
109.4116.1
Auto15.1
Teleop109.9
End21.0
red by 2.6
6328
#20
139.04.2
130.2134.4
Auto17.3
Teleop107.5
End11.9
Second
6337
#14
131.51.4
120.8122.3
Auto17.1
Teleop101.7
End13.4
blue by 0.4
5846
#31
131.84.9
129.0133.9
Auto17.6
Teleop98.1
End14.3
Third
839
#29
125.21.7
120.6118.9
Auto14.4
Teleop98.0
End13.5
red by 11.5
1735
#40
113.75.5
118.9124.4
Auto14.9
Teleop85.8
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed