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Red265
4796116.3
5563141.2
415194.4
Blue390
6529104.6
5813152.4
4176112.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2302870100200400500265390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5563
#15
141.23.0
122.3125.3
Auto15.1
Teleop111.8
End14.7
blue by 11.3
152.41.4
139.7141.1
Auto24.5
Teleop114.0
End13.5
Second
4796
#26
116.33.1
105.4108.5
Auto15.1
Teleop90.3
End9.3
red by 4.2
4176
#34
112.10.9
120.5121.4
Auto19.3
Teleop89.6
End2.0
Third
4151
#36
94.42.2
102.7100.5
Auto14.3
Teleop76.9
End3.1
blue by 10.2
6529
#39
104.60.9
98.098.9
Auto14.2
Teleop85.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed