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Red140
4761121.9
4176112.1
6201135.6
Blue447
6620131.2
5112138.0
78183.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2903270100200400500600140447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6201
#19
135.62.5
123.9126.4
Auto17.0
Teleop104.5
End14.3
blue by 47.9
78
#3
183.50.9
177.3178.3
Auto25.9
Teleop130.4
End28.4
Second
4761
#24
121.90.9
130.8131.7
Auto16.0
Teleop93.3
End13.1
blue by 16.2
5112
#28
138.01.5
117.0118.5
Auto13.9
Teleop110.3
End17.0
Third
4176
#34
112.13.0
121.4124.3
Auto19.3
Teleop89.6
End2.0
blue by 19.2
6620
#25
131.20.0
117.5117.5
Auto14.6
Teleop101.0
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed