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Red343
2168152.5
6731108.2
5563141.2
Blue186
78183.5
5846131.8
4761121.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263376100200300400500343186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
152.51.5
147.4145.8
Auto18.1
Teleop125.6
End7.8
blue by 31.0
78
#3
183.51.9
178.3180.2
Auto25.9
Teleop130.4
End28.4
Second
5563
#15
141.23.4
125.3128.7
Auto15.1
Teleop111.8
End14.7
red by 9.3
5846
#31
131.81.4
135.0136.5
Auto17.6
Teleop98.1
End14.3
Third
6731
#38
108.20.8
112.5111.6
Auto16.4
Teleop80.6
End13.0
blue by 13.6
4761
#24
121.92.1
131.7129.6
Auto16.0
Teleop93.3
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed