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Red366
6201135.6
6172141.6
2079118.7
Blue136
6731108.2
4176112.1
3566110.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294270150200250350400450366136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6172
#17
141.62.6
127.4130.0
Auto15.1
Teleop109.9
End21.0
red by 29.5
4176
#34
112.12.1
123.6121.5
Auto19.3
Teleop89.6
End2.0
Second
6201
#19
135.60.6
125.5126.1
Auto17.0
Teleop104.5
End14.3
red by 25.1
3566
#27
110.50.9
114.8113.9
Auto16.5
Teleop92.6
End4.0
Third
2079
#22
118.70.8
106.0106.8
Auto15.5
Teleop84.5
End20.7
red by 10.5
6731
#38
108.21.4
111.6113.0
Auto16.4
Teleop80.6
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed