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Red246
6172141.6
3566110.5
5112138.0
Blue334
2168152.5
630192.5
4796116.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308243100200400500246334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6172
#17
141.64.0
130.0134.0
Auto15.1
Teleop109.9
End21.0
blue by 10.9
152.51.1
147.0145.9
Auto18.1
Teleop125.6
End7.8
Second
5112
#28
138.04.5
126.5131.0
Auto13.9
Teleop110.3
End17.0
red by 21.8
4796
#26
116.30.1
114.6114.7
Auto15.1
Teleop90.3
End9.3
Third
3566
#27
110.51.5
113.9112.4
Auto16.5
Teleop92.6
End4.0
red by 18.0
6301
#32
92.50.9
87.888.7
Auto11.0
Teleop74.5
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed9%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed