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Red322
4176112.1
4041149.5
5422124.0
Blue231
5112138.0
6337131.5
6731108.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2692870100200400500600700322231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.50.4
150.4150.0
Auto18.1
Teleop108.0
End23.3
red by 11.5
5112
#28
138.02.5
131.0133.5
Auto13.9
Teleop110.3
End17.0
Second
5422
#21
124.00.9
125.1124.2
Auto14.5
Teleop98.9
End10.0
blue by 7.5
6337
#14
131.51.6
128.5130.1
Auto17.1
Teleop101.7
End13.4
Third
4176
#34
112.13.1
118.5115.4
Auto19.3
Teleop89.6
End2.0
red by 3.8
6731
#38
108.21.7
112.3110.6
Auto16.4
Teleop80.6
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed