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Red400
88179.9
5563141.2
3566110.5
Blue296
6620131.2
5846131.8
157134.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357276100200400500600400296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#2
179.92.4
170.3172.7
Auto23.3
Teleop140.9
End17.9
red by 45.3
157
#12
134.61.7
130.7132.3
Auto16.7
Teleop103.0
End12.9
Second
5563
#15
141.20.1
140.0140.1
Auto15.1
Teleop111.8
End14.7
red by 9.3
5846
#31
131.81.0
133.0132.1
Auto17.6
Teleop98.1
End14.3
Third
3566
#27
110.50.5
111.1110.6
Auto16.5
Teleop92.6
End4.0
blue by 20.8
6620
#25
131.20.7
127.8128.5
Auto14.6
Teleop101.0
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed