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Red250
2648141.0
6337131.5
5422124.0
Blue356
4761121.9
2168152.5
416995.0
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3142150100400500250356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#18
141.01.8
144.2142.4
Auto16.9
Teleop109.0
End14.3
blue by 11.5
152.51.5
146.7148.2
Auto18.1
Teleop125.6
End7.8
Second
6337
#14
131.50.8
130.1130.8
Auto17.1
Teleop101.7
End13.4
red by 9.6
4761
#24
121.91.0
122.1121.1
Auto16.0
Teleop93.3
End13.1
Third
5422
#21
124.00.2
124.2124.0
Auto14.5
Teleop98.9
End10.0
red by 29.0
4169
#30
95.02.9
98.695.6
Auto16.3
Teleop71.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed