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Red218
6153119.1
6529104.6
6172141.6
Blue387
5112138.0
4041149.5
166134.9
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264348100200300400500600218387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6172
#17
141.61.4
139.2140.6
Auto15.1
Teleop109.9
End21.0
blue by 8.0
149.50.8
150.2149.4
Auto18.1
Teleop108.0
End23.3
Second
6153
#16
119.12.0
115.6117.6
Auto15.3
Teleop89.5
End17.5
blue by 19.0
5112
#28
138.01.5
133.5135.0
Auto13.9
Teleop110.3
End17.0
Third
6529
#39
104.61.3
106.0104.6
Auto14.2
Teleop85.4
End4.0
blue by 30.2
166
#37
134.90.7
135.6134.9
Auto15.4
Teleop100.4
End20.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed