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Red399
51149.7
68152.6
818136.1
Blue131
1504130.0
4384153.8
4395141.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3643280100200400500600700800399131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#8
152.61.3
159.5158.2
Auto23.4
Teleop106.0
End21.5
blue by 1.2
4384
#12
153.80.6
153.3153.8
Auto23.7
Teleop116.6
End11.5
Second
51
#11
149.70.5
157.9157.4
Auto18.7
Teleop112.7
End19.0
red by 8.5
4395
#14
141.20.8
150.9150.2
Auto17.0
Teleop112.9
End13.4
Third
818
#15
136.10.1
137.2137.3
Auto18.7
Teleop105.5
End13.2
red by 6.1
1504
#16
130.00.5
146.9146.3
Auto19.6
Teleop99.2
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
23%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed