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Red77
51149.7
152895.2
1504130.0
Blue348
3322131.3
5530151.0
2834193.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions228385010030050060070077348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#11
149.70.3
157.4157.1
Auto18.7
Teleop112.7
End19.0
blue by 44.1
193.81.2
186.7185.5
Auto23.4
Teleop147.1
End25.8
Second
1504
#16
130.01.6
144.2142.7
Auto19.6
Teleop99.2
End14.6
blue by 21.0
5530
#13
151.00.9
163.4162.5
Auto18.8
Teleop117.1
End14.3
Third
1528
#22
95.22.3
108.3106.0
Auto15.3
Teleop75.5
End3.5
blue by 36.1
3322
#21
131.31.3
143.0141.7
Auto16.8
Teleop99.9
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsMissed65%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed